What needs to happen for Ohio State to win national title

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With the regular season rapidly approaching and Spring games over, the debate shifts towards next year’s performance.

Ohio State is in everyone’s thoughts as a potential contender for the national title, and here’s what needs to happen for them to achieve it.

Last Season 

The Buckeyes finished out last season with an 11-2 record losing to the Clemson Tigers in the Fiesta Bowl.

The 31-0 loss was rather embarrassing, but OSU showed the country that they can still play at a high level.

They had impressive wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Oklahoma, as well as a narrow loss at Penn State.

OSU history 

Urban Meyer has brought his team to impressive heights. He went undefeated in 2012 and 2013, as well as only losing a single game in the three seasons after.

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The Buckeyes lost 12 players to the NFL Draft, but they didn’t miss a stride in recruiting new talent. Photo via Ohio State’s official athletic website

Meyer combines consistent recruiting with dedicated coaching, and the results are apparent. The Buckeyes went 11-1 last regular season even after losing 12 players to the NFL draft.

The recruiting slate—defense 

The Buckeyes were able to recruit the second best recruiting class in the nation. What this means is that they nabbed five five-star recruits and fourteen four-star recruits.

The Buckeyes lost Marshon Lattimore to the Saints, Malik Hooker to the Colts, Gareon Conley to the Raiders, and Raekwon McMillan to the Dolphins. Hefty losses, but Meyer didn’t lose sleep over finding replacements.

First among the recruits are two cornerbacks—Jeffrey Okudah, No. 1 cornerback in the nation, and Shaun Wade, the second highest ranked corner in the country.

They also recruited Amir Riep, Marcus Williamson, and Kendall Sheffield, all three four-star cornerbacks.

At safety, the Buckeyes grabbed Isaiah Pryor, a four-star safety out of Florida.

The Buckeyes also recruited what might turn into one of the best defensive-lines in the country. Last year, the Buckeyes ranked at sixth in total defense in the FBS, but in 2017 we will see this number go up because of the incoming class.

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Baron Browning is the top-ranked OLB, and he’ll be a great addition to the Buckeyes D-line. Photo via Scout.com

First is outside linebacker Baron Browning out of Texas, ranked first at his position. Weak defensive end Chase Young, the second ranked player at his position,.

Complimenting them on the line are four-star defensive tackles Haskell Garrett and Jerron Cage.

With this defensive class alone, OSU would be rated higher than most teams for recruiting, and I’m looking forward to seeing one of the absolute best defenses in the nation performing this season.

Does Barrett have what it takes? 

In early January, we found out that J.T. Barrett would be returning to the Buckeyes through his Instagram, shown below:

“I’m Coming back for my senior year,” Barrett said. “Much love to Buckeye Nation and thank God for the blessings.”

There’s no question that Barrett is a great quarterback, but does he have what it takes to bring home the title?

Last season, Barrett threw for 2,555 yards on 233 completions, with 24 touchdowns and only seven interceptions. He also chalked up 845 rushing yards with nine rushing touchdowns—not a small feat, and a powerful statement for the dual-threat quarterback going into next season.

That being said, Barrett struggled with accuracy, completing only 61.5 percent of his passes.

His inconsistency showed through during games against Michigan State, Michigan and Clemson where he only threw for 86, 124 and 124 yards respectively.

Will his struggles prevent the Buckeyes from reaching a national championship once again?

I don’t think so.

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Curtis Samuel signed a $6.4 million contract with the Carolina Panthers. Photo via twitter.com/panthers

While the Buckeyes lose receivers Curtis Samuel, Dontre Wilson, and Noah Brown to the NFL, the upcoming recruiting class holds promise.

None of the three players boast many yards (none more than 500 yards) receiving, and looking at Meyer’s upcoming class, I feel confident that Barrett will have capable targets this season.

Wide Receivers and a new coach 

 First of all, the Buckeyes return three of their freshmen as receivers—Binjimen Victor, Austin Mack, and K.J. Hill. None of them got many playing time, even as the receiver corps consistently underachieved.

Now, they have a chance to prove themselves on the field. The Big Ten Network ranks OSU’s receiving corps as the third best in the conference behind Penn State and Indiana, and this is without taking the new recruits into account.

Two impact players to watch are four-star wide receivers Trevon Grimes and Jaylen Harris. Grimes is ranked the fifth-best receiver in the nation, while Harris is ranked No. 30. Not bad for an incoming class.

And now for the wildcard, or maybe secret weapon is a more apt name: Johnnie Dixon.

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Johnnie Dixon has had almost no playing time since 2014, but this is about to change now that he’s finally healthy. Photo via Marvin Fong/The Plain Dealer

Dixon —the fifth-ranked wide receiver in the nation in 2014—only caught six passes in the 2016 season because of injury. He has only participated in 14 total games across his three years at OSU.

Now, he’s back and looking extremely promising. As an eligible junior, he was finally able to play in spring games, where he had six receptions for 108 yards and two touchdowns.

Dixon didn’t expect to be able to return to the team, but right after his spring game he posted on Instagram about his prospects:

Dixon might prove to be the strongest receiver for Ohio State, and I’m predicting a breakout season from him.

And there’s some icing on the cake: Kevin Wilson, the new offensive coordinator and tight ends coach for the Buckeyes, is one of the best OCs in the game, and he’s ready to test his skills in Columbus.

Wilson has a history of success for offenses. He led the Oklahoma Sooners to a historic 11-2 season and Fiesta Bowl berth. As the head coach at Indiana he brought the program from a 1-11 record to a 6-6 record by the end of his tenure five years later.

Urban Meyer knows how good he is for offenses, and he might be just what the Buckeyes need to win the national title.

Why Ohio State will win the national title game 

Ohio State is one of the favorites for the national title this year, along with Alabama. Clemson no longer has the ability to embarrass OSU, and the Buckeyes are by far the better team.

I don’t see many FBS teams with the ability to beat OSU. They’ll face a challenge against Penn State, Oklahoma, and Michigan, but I think they’ll overcome those obstacles.

Add in the absolutely outstanding defensive recruiting class, and you have an all-around amazing team. Greg Schiano, now the sole defensive coordinator for the Buckeyes, led a great defensive program last year after being head coach for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

If Barrett comes into his own—which he will, considering the strength of his incoming receiving corps—and works well with Kevin Wilson, the Buckeyes have a great chance of winning the title.

Vegas releases early college football win total predictions

Photo via John Kuntz/The Plain Dealer

The oddsmakers over at OddsShark have released their predictions for win totals—as well as over/under odds—for the top teams in college football, Alabama and Ohio State, come out on top with 10.5 wins.

In second place comes a tie between Oklahoma, USC, FSU, Wisconsin, Washington, and Penn State—Vegas predicts they’ll finish the regular season at 9.5 wins.

By this metric, these eight teams have a pretty good chance of making the playoff just based off of wins.

This is in line with what others have been predicting, but there’s a pretty notable absence with these odds.

Notably missing from the list is Clemson, who’s at nine wins on the season. After their championship year, the Tiger can’t be pleased.

On the surface, a championship team should play well the next year, but there are too many holes in the Clemson roster to give someone much hope that they can do it all again.

The Seminoles are projected to replace the Tigers as the kings of the ACC, highlighting Deshaun Watson’s absence and the hype surrounding quarterback Deondre Francois coming into next season.

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Check out the full odds at OddsShark for over/under predictions, but here’s a list of the top five teams’ full odds:

Alabama: 10.5 wins  |  Over -260  / Under +200

Ohio State: 10.5 wins  |  Over -205  /  Under +165

Oklahoma: 9.5 wins  |  Over -155  /  Under +125

USC: 9.5 wins  |  Over -150  /  Under +120

Florida State: 9.5 wins  |  Over -140  /  Under +110

Bama is projected to take their place back on the top of the college football world, but Urban Meyer’s Buckeyes are not far behind.

Once again people think that the Tide will take the top of the SEC, even in the face of a strong LSU, Florida, and UGA opposition.

[irp posts=”7575″ name=”Way-too-early SEC power rankings”]

USC is placed in fourth place, which makes sense considering their relatively weak schedule.

For an analysis of USC’s chances on the national title, click here. 

For an analysis of FSU’s chances, click here. 

For an analysis of Alabama’s chances, click here. 

College Football Week 13 (Rivalry Week) Rundown

Photo via MGoblue.com

#2 Ohio State vs #3 Michigan — Winner: Michigan

Home field Advantage? Check.

Winning at home vs Michigan since 2000? Check.

Chaos factor (i.e., they muddle up the process of choosing playoff contenders completely)? Check.

Everything seems to point to the Buckeyes. Regardless, something deep down tells me that Michigan is going to win and cement themselves for the playoffs. Don’t ask me why.  The game will be decided by less than five points and in the last five minutes, but I think it’ll be decided in favor of Michigan. I think Ohio State will have the first half advantage—and for a home game, this is huge—but desperation and a strong and balanced team will give Michigan the comeback power it needs to take the game.

#1 Alabama vs #15 Auburn — Winner: Alabama

Every year I want to choose Auburn to win this one. Alabama is hungry for its postseason, and they want to be on top when they inevitably enter the playoffs at the end of the year. Saban is 6-3 in the Iron Bowl, and the Crimson Tide enjoys their time at the top too much to lose to their bitter rival. Their defenses are pretty even, but I think Bama has the competitive edge when it comes to offense, and ultimately they’ll win a bitterly close matchup.

#10 Colorado vs #12 Utah — Winner: Colorado

Utah will be unable to stop the Buffaloes’ crazy win streak, especially after being humbled by a 3-7 Oregon team last week. Liufau is going to have a miraculous showing, and with no home field advantage for either team, even Utah’s strong special teams via Andy Phillips won’t be able to snag the win.

#6 Washington vs #22 Washington State — Winner: Washington State

This is my huge upset of the week, and I think I’ll be spot on about it. Washington showed its weakness when it lost to USC, and I think it’ll be caught off guard by Falk and his receivers. Falk will throw for well over 300 yards, and while it’ll of course be a close game, WSU will come out on top and Washington will lose its hopes of going to the playoffs.

#17 Florida State vs #23 Florida — Winner: FSU

This is gonna be a super close game. Last year, even Seminoles fans were disappointed at how badly the Seminoles beat UF, and now the Gators will be back with a vengeance. Despite that, the over 80,000 capacity venue at Doak Campbell in Tallahassee will be enough to rattle the Gators, and they won’t be able to slow down Dalvin Cook nearly enough.

#8 Penn State vs Michigan State — Winner: Penn State

Looking at records this seems like a no-brainer, but all I’m saying is that Michigan State and Dantonio are gonna keep this closer than anyone expects.

#16 LSU vs #25 Texas A&M — Winner: LSU

The Aggies will be too overconfident with their home field advantage, and LSU will show them why that’s a mistake. It won’t be close, but I can predict a high scoring game from both teams. LSU will get a strong showing from both Guice and Elting, and Knight just won’t be able to cut it for TAMU.

College Football Week 12 Run Down

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This week is definitely an off week for most of the top 10. With the exception of my predicted upset from Houston and the showdown between #8 Oklahoma and #10 West Virginia, all of the teams expect to hold their rankings and get ready for competitions down the road. The * denotes “good games to watch.”

#1 Alabama vs. Chattanooga — Winner: Alabama 

If the Crimson Tide doesn’t roll over Chattanooga, there’s a problem. While Bennifield is a strong QB, the Mocs can’t even begin to compete on the level of Saban’s franchise.

#2 Ohio State vs. Michigan State — Winner: Ohio State

In any other year, I wouldn’t be so quick to choose OSU as the winner of this matchup; after a surprisingly disastrous season, however, I don’t think the Spartans have nearly enough talent or momentum to come out on top.

* #3 Louisville vs. Houston — Winner: Houston 

On paper, this seems like a huge upset, but Houston has proven time and time again that they are more than a match for high ranking programs. After some good upsets earlier in the season, Houston lost a lot of the momentum they’d gained in a shocker vs. Navy. If their defense has a strong showing, I think the Cougars can be a hard team to beat.

#4 Michigan vs. Indiana — Winner: Michigan 

Michigan comes into the game with a strong defense that the Hoosiers will be unable to overcome. Indiana is still reeling after a loss to Penn State, and their hopes of bowl eligibility will only come to fruition with a win over Purdue, not Michigan.

#5 Clemson vs. Wake Forest — Winner: Clemson

The strong Tigers team will be more than a match for the Demon Deacons, and while Clemson will win I feel like Wake will put up more of a fight than anyone thinks. They held their own in the first half against Louisville, and Clemson undoubtedly has their loss to Pitt fresh in their minds.

#6 Wisconsin vs. Purdue — Winner: Wisconsin  

This’ll be a no-contest, bread and butter win for Wisconsin. The Badgers have proven their worth as a powerhouse football program this year and will have no problem taking care of Purdue’s mistake-prone offense.

* #7 Washington vs. Arizona State — Winner: Washington

I was almost tempted to predict an upset here. Washington fell to USC last week in an embarrassing loss, and now nurses a 9-1 record—amazing to be sure, but not where they would like to be right now. On the other hand, Arizona State is not nearly as powerful as a team as I expected they would be. At 5-5 with four straight losses, they simply do not have the momentum to punch through the hole opened up by Washington’s recent loss. ASU has won the last 10 matches against the Huskies, but this will break their streak.

#8 Oklahoma vs. #10 West Virginia — Winner: Oklahoma 

This is really the game to watch out for. Both teams are hoping for a Big 12 championship spot, and both have the right type of momentum coming into today’s game. WVU’s pass defense will prove to be a thorn in the Sooners’ side, and the Mountaineers will ride their home field advantage as far as they can. It’s gonna be a tough win for Oklahoma but I think they’ll pull it off. They have a strong offense and a 7-game winning streak to show for their effort this season. It’s going to be a very close game, and I expect it’ll be within 6 points by the time it’s over.

#9 Penn State vs. Rutgers — Winner: Penn State

Penn State will make short work of the 2-8 Rutgers squad. It never helped Rutgers that they had an extremely hard schedule this year, but there isn’t much of an excuse for a 2-8 team.

Non-Top 10 Games to Watch Out For

#11 Utah vs. Oregon — Winner: Utah

Remembering how good Oregon looked the last couple of years, it’s strange to reconcile that with their record. Plain and simple, the Ducks aren’t performing well at all. While this is the perfect spoiler game—the perfect game to call an upset for—I just don’t think the Ducks will be able to prevail. The Utes will have a hard time with this win because Oregon doesn’t seem very formidable at 3-7, but in the end, they’ll come out on top. Barely.